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2024-12-14 03:56:52

China Merchants Securities: Hisense's household appliances are obviously underestimated, and the safety cushion is thick, and it is rated as "strongly recommended". China Merchants Securities Research Report pointed out that the growth rate of Hisense's household appliances (000921.SZ) slowed down, showing the first year-on-year decline in nine quarters since 22Q3, and the market confidence was weak. The company is obviously underestimated, and the safety mat is thick. Looking horizontally, in 2025, the valuations of Hisense, Midea and Haier will be 10/13/13 times; Historically, the company's share price has been deeply adjusted since May this year, and the current valuation is at a lower level since the 22-year reform. Referring to the global valuation system, the steady-state PE hub of johnson controls/Carrier/Trane is 30/25/20 times, which is higher than the valuation of white power enterprises represented by Whirlpool and Electrolux. Hisense household appliances, as the standard of A-share central air conditioning, should enjoy a higher valuation than white power companies. The improvement of the company's bottom management promotes efficiency and cost reduction+the global operation competitiveness is constantly strengthened+the company's leading position is stable under the background of domestic substitution of central air conditioning, and it continues to be firmly optimistic about the company. It is estimated that the company's revenue will increase by +8%, +9% and +10% from 2024 to 2026, and its performance will increase by +15%, +14% and +16% respectively. Give a "strongly recommended" rating.The scale of CSI A500ETF South (159,352) exceeded 18.7 billion yuan, and the first batch of 85 equity index funds were included in the catalogue of personal pension investment products, covering core indexes such as CSI A500. The main index of A shares rose, and CSI A500ETF South (159,352) rose by 0.88%. Yesterday, funds exceeding 1.9 billion yuan flowed into the south of CSI A500ETF, ranking first in its kind, and its latest scale exceeded 18.7 billion yuan, ranking second in its kind. The market is rising. In the news, the personal pension system will be extended to the whole country on December 15th, and product expansion has also become the focus. Today, the CSRC has included the first batch of 85 equity index funds in the catalogue of personal pension investment products, including 78 products that track various broad-based indexes and 7 products that track dividend indexes, including ordinary index funds, index enhancement funds and ETF-linked funds such as Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index, CSI A500 Index and Growth Enterprise Market Index. The investment style of index funds is clear and the rate level is low, so the inclusion of related products is conducive to enriching investors' choices. Related products also implement preferential rates to actively benefit investors.Huachuang Securities: It was first rated as "recommended" by Zangge Mining, with a target price of 33.3 yuan. Huachuang Securities Research Report pointed out that Zangge Mining (000408.SZ) is an important producer of potassium lithium salt and copper in China, with a high dividend return to shareholders. The company actively arranges high-quality potash resources at home and abroad: three major projects, namely, Heibei potash mine in Dalangtan, Alkali-Shishan potash mine and the eastern part of deep brine potash mine in Xiaoliangshan-Dafengshan area, are steadily promoted in China, with a total exploration right of 1,400 square kilometers; Overseas has signed a potash exploration agreement with Laos. At present, the exploration report and potash mine reserve certificate have been obtained. It is estimated that the total amount of potassium chloride resources in Setani County and Ba 'e County is 984 million tons. It is estimated that the output of the first phase of potassium chloride project will be 1 million tons/year, and the scale of potassium chloride production is expected to double in the future. The company is an important manufacturer of potassium and lithium in China, and Julong Copper is expected to inject strong kinetic energy into the company's growth. Considering that Mamicho Mining has not been consolidated at present, it is estimated that the company will realize a net profit of 25.0/27.7/4.29 billion yuan in 24-26 years, which is -27%, +11% and +54.9% respectively. In 2025, it can be compared with the company's average valuation of 19 times, giving the company a valuation of 19 times in 2025, corresponding to the target price of 33.3 yuan, covering for the first time and giving a "recommended" rating.


The downtime lasted more than 4 hours, and the failure of ChatGPT and Sora services has been fully repaired. On the afternoon of December 12, Beijing time, OpenAI updated the accident report and said that API, ChatGPT and Sora services have now fully resumed operation. Earlier today, OpenAI confirmed that ChatGPT, its chat robot, experienced a worldwide downtime, and Sora and API were also affected. It is understood that the fault lasted about 4 hours and 10 minutes. OpenAI said that it will conduct a comprehensive root cause analysis of this failure.Reuters survey: Most economists expect Britain to basically avoid the impact of Trump tariffs. According to the Reuters survey, most economists expect that US President-elect Trump will impose tariffs of less than 10% or not at all on goods imported from Britain next year, which will have little impact on the British economy. This is in stark contrast to a similar poll last month. Last month's polls showed that people were generally worried that the EU would be hit harder. Britain officially withdrew from the EU in 2020. Part of the reason why economists are more optimistic about Britain is that although one-fifth of Britain's total trade is with the United States, the proposed tariffs will focus on goods, and only one-third of Britain's exports are goods.The Japanese yen faces new risks. Strategists worry that the Bank of Japan may wait until March or later to raise interest rates. A new risk is emerging for the Japanese yen. Foreign exchange strategists in Tokyo warn that the Bank of Japan may wait until March or later next year to raise interest rates. On Wednesday, the market tasted this danger, and the yen fell to its lowest level in more than two weeks as traders responded to a Bloomberg report that the Bank of Japan is known to think that it is no harm to raise interest rates later. The yen only fell to 152.82 against the dollar, and the market is still debating whether the Bank of Japan will take action at its next meeting on December 19 or about a month later. Shusuke Yamada, head of Japan's foreign exchange and interest rate strategy at Bank of America in Tokyo, said that if policymakers put off raising interest rates for a longer time, the situation would be very different. "If the interest rate hike is postponed until March, the yen carry trade is likely to make a comeback," Yamada said on Thursday. "The yen is likely to fall again to a level just below the 157 mark hit in 155 or November."


Polls show that the support rate of Japanese Prime Minister Shi Pomao's cabinet has dropped to 26.8%. According to a report by the Japan News Agency on the 12th local time, the poll conducted by the agency in December showed that the support rate of Shi Pomao's cabinet was 26.8%, down 1.9 percentage points from last month. (CCTV News)The Japanese yen faces new risks. Strategists worry that the Bank of Japan may wait until March or later to raise interest rates. A new risk is emerging for the Japanese yen. Foreign exchange strategists in Tokyo warn that the Bank of Japan may wait until March or later next year to raise interest rates. On Wednesday, the market tasted this danger, and the yen fell to its lowest level in more than two weeks as traders responded to a Bloomberg report that the Bank of Japan is known to think that it is no harm to raise interest rates later. The yen only fell to 152.82 against the dollar, and the market is still debating whether the Bank of Japan will take action at its next meeting on December 19 or about a month later. Shusuke Yamada, head of Japan's foreign exchange and interest rate strategy at Bank of America in Tokyo, said that if policymakers put off raising interest rates for a longer time, the situation would be very different. "If the interest rate hike is postponed until March, the yen carry trade is likely to make a comeback," Yamada said on Thursday. "The yen is likely to fall again to a level just below the 157 mark hit in 155 or November."On December 12, the average price of pork in the national agricultural products wholesale market was 23.14 yuan/kg, which was the same as yesterday. According to the monitoring of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the "200 Index of Agricultural Products Wholesale Price" was 121.01 on December 12, up 0.07 points from yesterday, and the wholesale price index of "vegetable basket" products was 122.15, up 0.08 points from yesterday. As of 14:00 today, the average price of pork in the national agricultural products wholesale market was 23.14 yuan/kg, which was the same as yesterday; Beef is 60.10 yuan/kg, down 0.4% from yesterday; Mutton 59.19 yuan/kg, up 0.2% from yesterday; Eggs are 10.19 yuan/kg, up 0.2% from yesterday; White striped chicken was 17.74 yuan/kg, down 0.5% from yesterday. The average price of 28 kinds of vegetables monitored is 5.02 yuan/kg, up 0.2% from yesterday; The average price of six kinds of fruits monitored is 7.15 yuan/kg, down 0.4% from yesterday. Crucian carp 19.28 yuan/kg, down 1.6% from yesterday; Carp 14.30 yuan/kg, down 0.6% from yesterday; Silver carp 10.10 yuan/kg, down 3.3% from yesterday; Hairtail is 41.11 yuan/kg, up 1.3% from yesterday.

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